Final Programme

MONDAY, 24 SEPTEMBER

8.30 - Registration (Thermal Hotel Helia)
14.15 - 15.30 Session ECAM1: Use of Forecasting Tools
Chair: Werner Wehry (IM, FU)
14.15 - 14.45 Manfred Kurz (Invited Speaker, DWD): Synoptic diagnosis - an indispensable tool for nowcasting and very-short-range forecasting
14.45 - 15.00 Kees Floor, Nico Maat: Guidance as a crucial forecasting tool
15.00 - 15.15 Patrick Santurette, Alain Joly, Sylvie Malardel, Jean Coiffier: Towards a new presentation of synoptic forecasts
15.15 - 15.30 Alexander Jann, Andreas Wirth, Veronika Zwatz-Meise: Pattern recognition methods in satellite meteorology and its application for nowcasting and VSRF
15.30 - 16.00 Coffee
16.00 - 18.00 Session ECAM1: Use of forecasting tools (continuing)
(Oral presentations)
16.00 - 16.15 Ákos Horváth, István Geresdi: Nowcasting system of the Hungarian Meteorological Service
16.15 - 16.30 Otilia Diaconu: Statistical models in Romania based on the ALADIN numerical model
16.30 - 16.45 Drazen Glasnovic, Branka Ivancan-Picek: Another look into the direct NWP model output
16.45 - 17.00 Attila Fövényi: Decreasing of the error of maximum temperature forecast using NWP model and radiosonde data
17.00 - 17.15 Wilfried Jacobs, Wolfgang E. Raatz: Automatic analysis and prognosis of nowcasting relevant weather phenomena based upon pixel attributes
17.15 - 17.30 Pertti Nurmi, John Bally, Harold E. Brooks, Barbara G. Brown, Elizabeth Ebert, Matthias Jaeneke, Laurence Wilson: International cooperation in developing advanced nowcasting tools - the verification study of the Sydney 2000 forecast demonstration project
17.30 - 17.45 Klaus Knüpffer: Lightning-MOS - a new approach for thunderstorm prediction
17.45 - 18.00 Alan M. Radford: Semi-automation facilities on horace
19.00 - 21.00 Welcome party

TUESDAY, 25 SEPTEMBER

8.30 - 10.00 Session ECAM1: Use of forecasting tools (continuing)
Chair: D. Marbouty (ECMWF)
8.30 - 9.00 Frederic Atger (Invited Speaker, Météo-France): Forecasting probabilities in meteorology: a challange
9.00 - 9.15 Robert Mureau, Rob Slikker, Herman Wessels, Sjon van der Tol, Menno van der Haven: Simple models driven by ECMWF ensemble output
9.15 - 9.30 T. P. Legg, K. R. Mylne: Early warnings of severe weather from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
9.30 - 9.45 A. Fernández, J. del Hoyo, A. Mestre, C. Peral: Local probabilistic forecasts of precipitation by the use of an analogical approach
9.45 - 10.00 Constantin Mares, Ileana Mares: Improvement of long range forecasting by superensemble analysis
10.00 - 10.15 D. Marbouty: Summary of Posters in Theme 1
10.15 - 11.00 Poster Session + Coffee
  P1.1a Attila Fövényi: Probability forecast of state of winter precipitation using NWP model data
  P1.1b Attila Fövényi: Visibility range forecast using NWP model data
  P1.2 Kees Floor, Ab Maas, Henny Vergouw: Use, development and impact of 'SATREP' at KNMI
  P1.3 Dominique Ruffieux, Jacques Rast: Comparison of three lightning detection systems operating in Switzerland
  P1.5 L. De Leonibus, P. Rosci, F. Zauli: Impact of the use of an automatic detection tool of severe convective phenomena (NEOFODINA) on operational nowcasting
  P1.6 M.J. Geuze, J. Havinga, W.D. van den Berg: Improvement of global radiation forecasts
  P1.7 Harri Hohti, Jarmo Koistinen, Pertti Nurmi, Kenneth Holmlund: Radar-derived nowcasting tool for precipitation
  P1.8 Michael Jorgensen: Deterministic and probabilistic prediction of visibility and precipitation amount by statistical interpretation of Hirlam model forecasts
  P1.9 Reinhold Steinacker, Christian Häberli, Wolfgang Pöttschacher, Andreas Schmölz, Matthias Ratheiser, Inga Groehn, Manfred Dorninger: VERA - Vienna enhanced resolution analysis
  P1.10 P. Richard, I. Kononov: Total lightning characteristics of thunderstorm and contribution in storm nowcasting applications
  P1.11 Harald Seidl: Forecasting of boundary layer structure for northeast Austria with ALADIN and local dynamical adaptation
  P1.12 Rob Slikker, Harry Bakker, Robert Mureau: The use of ensemble forecasts at KNMI
  P1.13 Gea Tehver: Types of winter and spring seasons in Estonia and correlations between them
  P1.14 Teodossia Andreeva: Statistical estimation of long-range weather forecasts in Bulgaria
  P1.15 Ileana Mares, C. Mares: Performance of EEOF and MEM applications in the long range forecasting
  P1.16 Klemen Bergant, Lucka Kajfez-Bogataj: Evaluation of different statistical methods and potential predictors for statistical downscaling of large-scale predictor fields to near ground air temperature in Slovenia
  P1.17 J. Tendel, S. Unger, D. Thiele: Project: weather forecast by students
  P1.18 Dr. Gintautas Stankunavicius: Blocking activities in Europe and weather anomalies in Lithuania
  P1.19 Christophe Periard: Cloudiness forecast for satellite providers the SPOT-image example
  P1.24 Magnus Ovhed: Polar lows in practical forecasting
  P1.25 D. Mansfield: The operational use of pseudo water vapour imagery in the UK MET office
  P1.26 Janusz M. Jasinski, Krzysztof Kroszczynski, Slawomir Pietrek: Non-standard synoptic materials preparation based on mesoscale models data and satellite imagery
11.00 - 12.30 Session ECAM2: Application of Meteorology
Chair: E. McCallum (UKMO)
11.00 - 11.30 Roger Hunt (Invited Speaker, UKMO): Making the most of meteorology
11.30 - 11.45 Ivan Obrusník: National meteorological and hydrological services and their role in early warning for natural disasters
11.45 - 12.00 Ilmar Karro: Information to the rescue services during the flooding events in the central part of Sweden in summer and autumn 2000.
12.00 - 12.15 Miroslav Škuthan: Integrated warning system - the spirit of mutual co-operation between Czech hydrometeorological institute and military weather centre
12.15 - 12.30 Barry Green: Weather services for media in Canada: a web portal
12.30 - 14.00 Lunch
14.00 - 14.45 Session ECAM2: Application of Meteorology (continuing)
Chair: Dick Blaauboer (KNMI)
14.00 - 14.15 Martti Heikinheimo, Väinö Kelhä, Kristiina Soini: Forest fire risk assessment and detection Tuned for northern Europe
14.15 - 14.30 C. Appenzeller, P. Eckert, W. Müller: Seasonal ensemble forecast for energy purposes
14.30 - 14.45 Kornélia Radics, Judit Bartholy: New improvements on wind energy research in Hungary
15.00 - 16.00 1st EMS Annual Meeting:
The Future of Meteorology in Europe
Session EMS1:
Chair: René Morin (President EMS)
15.00 - 15.15 René Morin, President (EMS): Welcome
15.15 - 15.30 Ron McPherson (AMS): Welcome
15.30 - 16.00 Anver Ghazi (Invited Speaker, EC RTD): Overview: political, economic and social developments in Europe
16.00 - 16.30 Coffee
16.30 - 18.00 Session EMS2: The tools of Meteorology
Chair: S. Cornford (Vice-President EMS)
16.30 - 17.00 John Zillman (Invited Speaker, WMO): Demands on meteorology
17.00 - 17.30 Tillmann Mohr (Invited Speaker, EUMETSAT): Evolution to an integrated global (Earth) observing system
17.30 - 18.00 David Burridge (Invited Speaker, ECMWF): Weather prediction techniques

WEDNESDAY, 26 SEPTEMBER

8.30 - 10.00 1st EMS Annual Meeting (continuing)
Session EMS3: The structures of Meteorology
Chair: W. Wehry (DMG/Councillor EMS)
8.30 - 9.00 Rupert Collins-White (Invited Speaker, ZDNet, UK): Possible futures for handling meteorological data, especially the dissemination of products to the consumer
9.00 - 9.30 Claude Pastre (Invited Speaker, EUMETNET): Overview of the evolution of linkage between public meteorological entities
9.30 - 10.00 Jean-Pierre Beysson (Invited Speaker, Météo-France): Overview of the evolution of linkage between Météo-France and other national meteorological services in Europe
10.00 - 10.30 Coffee
10.30 - 12.00 Session EMS4
Chair: W. Wehry (DMG/Councillor EMS)
10.30 - 11.00 Iván Mersich (Invited Speaker, HMS): Overview of the evolution of linkage between the Hungarian Meteorological Service and other national meteorological services in Europe
11.00 - 11.30 Hans Sandebring (Invited Speaker, SMHI): The structure of linkages between providers of meteorological products, advice and data - a perspective from existing national meteorological and hydrological services
11.30 - 12.00 Harry Otten (Invited Speaker, Meteoconsult): The structure of linkage between providers of meteorological products, advice and data - a private commercial provider's perspective
12.00 - 13.30 Lunch
13.30 - 15.00 EMS Roundtable discussion
Chair: René Morin (President EMS)
15.00 - 15.30 Coffee
15.30 - 17.45 Session ECAM2: Application of Meteorology (continuing)
Chair: Ivan Obrusnik (CHMI)
15.30 - 16.00 Boris Kozlowski (Invited Speaker, SWM): Relevance of meteorological applications in energy trading
16.00 - 16.15 J.M. Terres, P. Segers, F. Biard, R. Delécolle: Interest of numerical meteorological model parameters as input in the JRC crop growth monitoring system
16.15 - 16.30 Adriana-Cornelia Marica, Petruta Tuinea, J. Urban: Applications of an operational computer program for irrigation planning and management in Romania
16.30 - 16.45 Simone Orlandini, Andrea Cappugi: Calibration of agrometeorological models for the simulation of grapevine diseases in several viticultural areas of Europe
16.45 - 17.00 Lucka Kajfez-Bogataj, Klemen Bergant, Zalika Crepinšek: Simple models for prediction of flowering of fruit trees (Pyrus communis L., Malus domestica borkh and Prunus domestica L.)
17.00 - 17.15 Nina K. Detlefsen, Jens G. Hansen, Iver Thysen: Use of weather forecasting data in decision support systems for the control of potato late blight
17.15 - 17.30 Tamás Hirsch: Forecasting the state of heavy precipitation in winter considering the demands of traffic authorities
17.30 - 17.45 J. Shao, P.J. Lister: Automated road ice nowcasts and web site application
17.45 - 18.45 Mini-Symposium of Väisala
Jorma Kosonen, Product Manager: The next generation radiosounding ground equipment from Vaisala
Jorma Kosonen, Product Line Manager: The accuracy and performance of the Vaisala RS90 Radiosonde in operational use
Sami Leino, Product Manager: Design and implementation of an automated data collection system for meteorological and environmental data networks
Philippe Richard, Sales Buiseness Unit Manager: Total lightning detection in Central Europe

THURSDAY, 27 SEPTEMBER

8.30 - 10.00 Session ECAM2: Application of Meteorology (continuing)
Chair: Dominique Lapeyre de Chavardes (Météo-France)
8.30 - 8.45 Sam Brand: European ports severe weather studies: status report
8.45 - 9.00 C. Leifeld, T. Hauf, A. Tafferner, H. Leykauf: ADWICE - Advanced diagnosis and warning system for aircraft icing environments
9.00 - 9.15 L.J. Wilson, Pierre Bourgouin, Jacques Montpetit: Taftools - progress in the automation of terminal area forecasts in Canada
9.15 - 9.30 J. Thielen, B. Gouweleeuw, A. de Roo: Application of medium-range weather forecasting on pre-flood warning simulations on European scale
9.30 - 10.00 D. Lapeyre de Chavardes: Summary of Posters in Theme 2
10.00 - 11.15 Poster Session + Coffee
  - P2.1 I. Grepachevski: The importrance of cooperation for meteorological improvement of imformation use in the Republic Moldova
  - P2.2 Koch, Lipa, Posch, Potzmann, Rudel: Economical aspects of severe weather conditions
  - P2.3 Ryszard Farat, Waclaw Plenzler: Problem of economic efficiency in meteorology and climatology in Poland
  - P2.4 Tanja Cegnar: Weather and climate information for tourists
  - P2.5 J. Schwarz, M. Ondráš, I. Zahumenský: FWRS flood warning rain station
  - P2.6 Romana Koczorowska, Ryszard Farat: Meteorology at the service of building construction and power engineering
  - P2.7 K. Rubinstein, E. Savelieva, M. Kanevski, V. Ogar, V. Bogdanov: An example of electrical load forecasting in extrem weather conditions
  - P2.8 Roman Corobov, Galina Shabanova, Ala Nicolenco: Stability of natural ecosystems to climate change on the example of Moldavian steppes
  - P2.9 H.M. Mahmudov, M.A. Gurbanov: Emitted greenhouse gases and their major indicators in the Republic of Azerbaijan
  - P2.10 Josef Keder: An estimate of the nitrogen dioxide concentration field over the Prague territory based on the correlation among stable monitoring network and mobile van measurement data
  - P2.11 K.G. Rubinstein, D.B. Kiktev: The new principles of system of meteorological data supplying for regional pollution transfer modeling
  - P2.12 Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz, Zsuzsanna Dezso: Evaluation of urban heat island effect for large Hungarian cities using high resolution satellite imagery
  - P2.13 K. Lehtihet, J. Izard, J. Marcillat, G. Destobelleire: Field measurement analysis of two insitu experiments in several urban spaces in Marseilles
  - P2.14 R. Carvalho, V. Prior, R. Deus: Applications of the Portuguese urban automatic meteorological network
  - P2.15 V. Prior, R. Carvalho: Meteorological observations applied to road traffic security in the northern part of Portugal
  - P2.17 Dimitar Nikolov, Thomas Hauf, Christoph Leifeld: The use of pireps for diagnosis of aircraft icing over Europe
  - P2.18 Jong-Seo Park, Boram Lee, Byong-Lyol Lee: Web-based public weather services including road weather information system (ROWIS) in Korea
  - P2.19 Casale Giuseppe Rocco, Anna Maria Siani, Sabino Palmieri, Lucarini Cesare: A simple device for the evaluation of UV radiation index
  - P2.23 Vesselin Alexandrov, Josef Eitzinger: Adaptation of crop-weather models in Austria and Bulgaria
  - P2.24 Vesselin Alexandrov: Water use of maize in Bulgaria estimated by decision support system for agrotechnology transfer
  - P2.25 Elena Mateescu, Rodica Oprisescu: Droughty and rainy spells for the agriculture in Romania
  - P2.26 Andreja Sušnik, Iztok Matajc: Impact of climate changes on the agricultural drought appearance in Slovenia
  - P2.27 N. Slavov, V. Kazandjiev: Influence of the climatic factors and their variability on the development of Robinia pseudoacacia L. forest trees in Bulgaria
  - P2.29 J. Eitzinger, W.J. Parton, N. Doesken, R. Pielke, Sr: Analysis and estimation of trends in pan evaporation in a semi-arid environment
  - P2.30 Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz, Zoltán Barcza: Analysis of vegetation index values and their variations in the Atlantic-European region and the Carpathian basin based on satellite observations
  - P2.31 Michele Bernardi: Applications software developed by FAO for management of agrometeorological and remotely sensed data
  - P2.32 Ivanka Koleva-Lizama: Agrometeorological forecasts of the Leptinotarsa decemlineata say development
  - P2.33 Mária Viceová, Viera Luknárová: Temporal and spatial distribution of soil temperature in Slovak Republic
  - P2.35 Leonidas Toulios, Alexia Tournaviti, Georgia Zerva, Theodore Karakostas: Agrometeorological modeling for cotton yield estimation
  - P2.37 M. Moriondo, A. Crisci, F. Longhi, S. Orlandini, A. Pardini: Assessment of erosion risk due to rainfall at regional scale
  - P2.39 Federica Rossi, S. Anconelli, G. Antolini, T. Campisi, O. Facini, T. Georgiadis, S. Loreti, V. Marletto, M. Nardino, F. Zinoni: Spring frost in fruit tree orchards: micrometeorological observations, protection techniques and risk assessment in Emilia Romagna region
  - P2.40 Sung Nam Oh, Kyoung-On Boo: Meteorological applications based on numerical urban climatic simulations
11.15 - 12.00 Session ECAM2: Application of Meteorology (continuing)
Chair: Dominique Lapeyre de Chavardes (Météo-France)
11.15 - 11.30 Cecilia Ambjörn: Application of a numerical weather model in environment protection by modelling the trajectory and fate of spills and using internet as the calculation platform
11.30 - 11.45 Guido W. Halbig: Calculation and assessment of odours - an instrument in the planning process
11.45 - 12.00 Francois Bompay, Mihaela Caian, Constantin Ionescu, Marian Ursache, Mariana Popescu, Ada Pandele, Cristina Trifu Raducu: Use of air and water pollution numerical modelling, in Open-GIS hosted urban planning to sustain policy and abatement strategies
12.00 - 13.30 Lunch
13.30 - 16.00 Session ECAM3: Commercialization, Service Providing
Chair: Peter Rauh (MeteoSwiss)
13.30 - 14.00 René Hoenson (Invited Speaker, ECOMET): Availability of data and products through ECOMET
14.00 - 14.15 Wolfgang E. Raatz, Wilfried Jacobs: Development of a detailed warning system by the Deutscher Wetterdienst
14.15 - 14.30 Ferenc Wantuch: Automatically generated text-form forecasts in several languages at Hungarian Meteorological Service
14.30 - 14.45 Joseph E. Shaykewich: An automated operational performance measurement system for aviation, public and marine forecasts
14.45 - 15.00 Romana Koczorowska, Krystyna Wasilewska: Meteorology in insurance and pomology
15.00 - 15.15 Dominique Marbouty, Horst Böttger, Keith Fielding, Baudouin Raoult: Access to ECMWF archive and information
15.15 - 15.30 Herbert Gmoser et al.: Optimized logistics of weather forecasting tools in commercial services
15.30 - 16.00 Hiroyoshi Ishibashi (Invited Speaker, WNI): Commercialization of weather market - case in Japan
16.00 - 16.30 Coffee
16.30 - 18.00 Round table discussion:
Effectiveness-automation-price contra quality
Chair: Alexander Zaitsev (WMO)
19.00 - 21.00 Banquet

FRIDAY, 28 SEPTEMBER

8.30 - 10.00 Session ECAM3: Commercialization, service providing (continuing)
Chair: John Thomson (Oceanroutes Ltd, UK)
8.30 - 9.00 Jan Dekker (Invited Speaker, Weerbureau): Let's start doing business. The Dutch weather experience
9.00 - 9.15 Daniel Rousseau: How to improve weather forecast available on internet
9.15 - 9.30 Imre Bonta: Verification of 2m temperature predicted by ALADIN and ECMWF models considering the demands of energy supply
9.30 - 9.45 Ervin Zsótér: Objective verification of different end-products at the Hungarian Meteorological Service
9.45 - 10.00 Luis F. Nunes, Fernanda Carvalho, Renato Carvalho, Amélia Lopes, Jorge Neto: New developments in the data processing and validation system for the Portuguese AWS network
10.00 - 10.15 J. Thomson: Summary of Posters in Theme 3
10.15 - 11.00 Poster Session + Coffee
  - P3.1 Imre Bartha, Ágota Zsikla: Meteorological service for safety of life and property at lake Balaton
  - P3.2 Márta H. Bóna, Aranka Maller: Status of media services at the Hungarian Meteorological Service
  - P3.3 Thomas Frei: A guideline for the conception of the observing network according to the needs of the data users at Meteoswiss
  - P3.4 Vicky Lucas: Creating an occupational standard for weather forecasting
  - P3.5 Dr. Yury Shmelkin, Yury Yousoupov, Alexey Solomakhov: The GIS meteo technology
  - P3.6 Nenad V. Rankovic: Internet weather forecasting competitions - a new tool for cooperation of European weather services
  - P3.8 Guido W. Halbig: Quality management according to ISO 9001 - an instrument to improve customer focused meteorological services
  - P3.9 Uros Strajnar, Boris Zorz, Ales Poredos: XML based visualization of meteorological data
  - P3.10 Audun D. Christoffersen, Jürgen Schulze, Helen Korsmo: New forecast production tools at DNMI
  - P3.12 Christian Häberli, Dimitrios Tombros, Estelle Grüter, Marco Bassi, Nadine Tschichold: A data warehouse system for meteorological data of Meteoswiss
  - P3.13 Alica Bajic, Bernardin Peros, Branko Cividi: Bora wind load upon the structure
  - P3.14 Jon Wieringa: Davenport roughness classification, and other metadata necessary for station data quality
  - P3.16 Zara Petrosyan: Weather prediction and service in the Republic of Armenia
  - P3.17 Sahib Khalilov, Muslim Kurbanov: Trends of warming in Azerbaijan
  - P3.18 T. Makrogiannis, E. Bora-Senta, T.H. Filandros: Stochastic ARIMA models - an application to the air temperature time series in Thessaloniki (Greece)
  - P3.19 Ksenija Zaninovic, Boris Androic: Snow load standards in Croatia - climatological background
  - P3.20 Peter J. Pennas: Lengths of wet-spells over Greece
11.00 - 12.30 Session ECAM3: Commercialization, service providing (continuing)
Chair: Fritz Neuwirth(ZAMG)
11.00 - 12.15 Session ECAM3: Commercialization, Service Providing (continuing)
Chair:
11.00 - 11.15 Olof Lindh, Stefan Nilsson: Experiences from operational use of a system for automatic and semiautomatic production of meteorological forecasts in Sweden
11.15 - 11.30 Diederik Haalman: AUTOTAF - Automatic TAF production
11.30 - 11.45 Inga Groehn, Reinhold Steinacker, Christian Häberli, Wolfgang Pöttschacher, Matthias Ratheiser, Manfred Dorninger: Data quality control and analysis
11.45 - 12.00 Josip Juras, Antun Marki: Quality control of cloud amount observations and forecasts
12.00 - 12.15 Estelle Grüter, Ursula Küng, Peter Mumenthaler, Josefa Mettler, Marco Bassi, Thomas Konzelmann, Rudolf Dössegger, Mario Rohrer, Urs Steinegger, Patricia Handschin, Daniela Lorenzi, Christian Häberli: A new generation of quality control tools for meteorological data at Meteoswiss
12.15 - 12.30 Closing of the Conference
12.30 - 14.00 Lunch